Bawler / PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal / Santa Clara
Team profile

Santa Clara Prediction

Per-game numbers from 39 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.0
a game
9.4 faced
On target
3.3
a game
3.3 faced
Goals
1.0 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 39 matches
Next match
41%
Santa Clara win chance
vs Famalicao · Sun 23 Aug 17:00

Santa Clara prediction: for Santa Clara's next match — Santa Clara vs Famalicao on Sunday 23 Aug, 17:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Santa Clara win looks most likely (41%).

Santa Clara sit close to the Liga Portugal average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.20 expected goals a game and conceding 1.31. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is FC Famalicao, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 41%.

Santa Clara in numbers

39 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 1.1Away 0.9
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
Home 4.5Away 4.4
12.0
Shots · per game
faced 9.4
Home 12.3Away 11.6
3.3
On target · per game
faced 3.3
Home 3.5Away 3.1
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-0
@ Academico Viseu
2-4
15 Aug
1-0
@ Académico de Viseu
2-4
10 Aug
2-2
vs Nacional
4-4
10 Aug
2-2
vs C.D. Nacional
4-4
16 May
0-1
@ Porto
5-8
11 May
2-0
vs Nacional
4-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Famalicao · Sunday 23 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Win
41%
Santa Clara
Draw
35%
Loss
24%
Famalicao
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Santa Clara compare with the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average, per match.

Goals for
1.20
Below average
Goals against
1.31
Leakier than most
Record
4W 2D 2L
8 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 1.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.20
Conceded1.31

The grey line on each bar is the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal average (1.23 scored, 1.19 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Santa Clara fixtures (4/5).

How Bawler has done on Santa Clara

88%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Result80%4/5
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Sat 15 Aug@ Académico de Viseu
High confidence: Académico de Viseu or Draw
Mon 10 Augvs C.D. Nacional
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 16 May@ FC Porto
High confidence: 1X
Mon 11 Mayvs C.D. Nacional
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Aprvs Braga
High confidence: Santa Clara or Draw (Double Chance)
Sat 18 Apr@ Casa Pia
High confidence: X2
Fri 03 Apr@ Sporting CP
High confidence: 1X
Sat 21 Marvs Gil Vicente
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INVasconcelosAMfrom Braga BUndisclosed
INVitinhoLWfrom CruzeiroUndisclosed
INTiago RibeiroCMfrom FeirenseUndisclosed
INLucas FrançaGKfrom Free agentFree transfer
INLéo JacóSTfrom Atletico GOUndisclosed
INAfonso DuarteLWfrom BragaUndisclosed
INSorrisofrom Athletico ParanaenseUndisclosed
INKamikaLMfrom S.U. 1º de DezembroFree transfer
OUTGabriel SilvaLWto Braga€3.5m
OUTGabriel BatistaGKto Botafogo RJUndisclosed
OUTReinaldoLWto Levski Sofia€1.5m
OUTJoão AfonsoGKto FC Porto€1.5m
OUTSerginhoCMto Levski SofiaUndisclosed
OUTPaulo VictorLMto Queretaro FCUndisclosed
OUTMatheusinhoRWto Atletico GOUndisclosed
OUTJader GentilRWto Atletico GOLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Santa Clara and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly