Netherlands: EredivisieFriday 07 Aug, 18:00 UTC

SC Cambuur vExcelsior

Most likely scoreline
1–1
11% of the time · 2.91 goals expected
SC Cambuur 51%Draw 28%Excelsior 20%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
79%

Under 2.5 Goals is the play at 82% probability—a combined xG of just 1.50 between these teams projects a low-scoring affair.

How we get there
SC CambuurstepExcelsior
1.61Base xG · rolling 26-match1.16
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.82Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.09
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 3.5 goals
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Excelsior average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
6
3
1
1
10
11
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
6
3
1
4
2
3
1
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

SC Cambuur fixtures & form →Excelsior fixtures & form →

SC Cambuur vs Excelsior — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between SC Cambuur and Excelsior — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: SC Cambuur 51% · draw 28% · Excelsior 20%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

SC Cambuur predictions & form →Excelsior predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
SC Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.