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Excelsior
Eredivisie · Team page

Excelsior

FormWDLDL
90%
Our hit rate on EXC
10
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 2

Colour = model difficulty for Excelsior
HEE (A)
16 Oct
SIT (A)
25 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs Eredivisie average · 8 matches since 1 Jul 2026
11.9lge avg 14.3
Shots per game
4.4lge avg 5.0
Shots on target per game
2.0lge avg 1.7
Goals scored per game
1.8lge avg 1.9
Goals conceded per game
1.5lge avg 1.6
xG for per game
1.7lge avg 1.7
xG against per game
4.1lge avg 4.9
Corners per game
Next fixture · Fri 16 Oct 19:00
HeerenveenHeerenveenvsExcelsiorExcelsior
Medium confidence · Both teams to score61%
Excelsior win27%
Draw24%
Heerenveen win48%
Most likely score1-1 · 10%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to scoreYes · 61%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
ExcelsiorNesto GroenFWD · 0.94 xG per 900.94
ExcelsiorDavid GardenFWD · 0.47 xG per 900.47
ExcelsiorAymen SlitiFWD · 0.33 xG per 900.33
Our record on Excelsior · settled in publicFull track record →
11 OctExcelsior v GroningenOver 1.5 goals82%WON
19 SeptAjax v ExcelsiorAjax to win61%LOST
13 SeptExcelsior v UtrechtOver 1.5 goals80%WON
5 SeptWillem II v ExcelsiorOver 1.5 goals84%WON
ExcelsiorExcelsior· continues from the hero above42 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
LOSS1–5vs Groningen11 OctDRAW2–2@ Ajax19 SeptLOSS1–2vs Utrecht13 Sept
DRAW2–2@ Nijmegen8 Sept
WIN3–0@ Willem II5 SeptWIN2–1vs Sparta Rotterdam29 Aug
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.21.5
Shots12.614.3
On target4.15.2
Corners4.14.3
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.61.8
Shots12.115.6
On target4.45.6
Corners4.16.1
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.6
Shots5.66.3
On target1.92.4
Corners2.12.0
All 21 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.8
Shots4.97.0
On target1.92.5
Corners1.92.8
20 of the 21 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.9
Shots7.08.0
On target2.22.8
Corners1.92.3
All 21 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.81.1
Shots6.98.8
On target2.33.4
Corners2.03.4
20 of the 21 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 26 players

Coach Ruben den Uil · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
16Celton Biai26 · GNB
40Tijmen Holla20 · NED
Defenders
Marlon van de Wetering18 · NED
2Eric da Silva Moreira20 · GER
3Rick Meissen24 · NED
4Casper Widell23 · SWE
14Jan Plug21 · NED
+3 more
15Simon Janssen26 · NED
22Osman Mohamed Turay18 · GER
24Guilliano Cairo20 · NED
Midfielders
6Daniël van Vianen23 · NED
8Irakli Yegoian22 · GEO
9Mario Domínguez22 · ESP
10Noah Naujoks24 · NED
18Valentin Sulzbacher21 · AUT
+2 more
20Lennard Hartjes23 · NED
25Gijs van den Berg33 · NED
Forwards
7Aymen Sliti★20 · NED
12Kasey Bos22 · AUS
19David Garden★22 · NED
21Ilano Silva Timas24 · CPV
+3 more
23Yaqub Finey23 · SWE
28Nesto Groen★22 · NED
30Ágúst Thorsteinsson21 · ISL

Transfer desk · this window

All 27 moves →
OUTStan HenderikxCB · to FC DordrechtLoan3 Sept
OUTNolan MartensRB · to De GraafschapUndisclosed3 Sept
OUTMathijs TielemansCM · to AaBUndisclosed1 Sept
INEric da Silva MoreiraRB · from Nottingham ForestUndisclosed26 Aug
INÁgúst ThorsteinssonRW · from BreiðablikUndisclosed25 Aug

Common questions

Who do Excelsior play next?

Excelsior play Heerenveen away on Fri 16 Oct 19:00 UK. The published call is both teams to score, at 61%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Excelsior v Heerenveen call?

Medium confidence: Both teams to score, at 61%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Excelsior?

9 of 10 settled Excelsior forecasts were right (90%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Excelsior averaging this season?

11.9 shots and 2.0 goals a game, conceding 1.8, counted over 8 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Excelsior signed and sold?

27 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Eric da Silva Moreira, Ágúst Thorsteinsson. The newest out: Stan Henderikx, Nolan Martens, Mathijs Tielemans. Follow the transfer desk

The Excelsior fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Excelsior's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sun 25 Oct@ Sittard39%25%36%Over 60%Yes 62%Both teams to score 62%

Head-to-head · the fixtures ahead

Every recorded meeting, oriented to Excelsior
OpponentMetWDLLast meetingPreview
Heerenveen10235Excelsior 1-2 SC Heerenveen · Mar 2026Match preview →

Eredivisie table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Feyenoord862027-7+2020
2PSV Eindhoven861126-10+1619
3AZ Alkmaar861118-8+1019
4FC Twente852116-8+817
5Ajax843122-10+1215
6FC Groningen842220-14+614
7Fortuna Sittard842214-15-114
8Go Ahead Eagles825119-17+211
9Excelsior832316-14+211
10SC Heerenveen823311-1109
11NEC Nijmegen823313-14-19
12Cambuur822411-19-88
13FC Utrecht822414-25-118
14Sparta Rotterdam813413-20-76
15Telstar81347-14-76
16PEC Zwolle81166-21-154
17ADO Den Haag80359-19-103
18Willem II80267-23-162