FT · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · Sunday, 30 August 2026
SC Cambuur 1–4 FC TwenteMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was FC Twente to win at 73%. Bawler had SC Cambuur at 11%, the draw at 16% and FC Twente at 73%. The match finished 1–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
SC Cambuur win
11%
Draw
16%
FC Twente win
73%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.9 – 2.6
Total 3.6
Actual
1 – 4
Total 5 (+1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
FC Twente to win
Pre-match: 73%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.