Bawler / Netherlands: Eredivisie / Twente
Team profile

Twente Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
18.3
a game
10.7 faced
On target
6.8
a game
3.8 faced
Goals
1.9 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Corners
5.7
a game
4.1 against

Twente prediction: Bawler's model rates Twente at 1.91 expected goals scored and 1.31 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 86% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Twente fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Twente carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.91 expected goals per game against an Eredivisie average of 1.63. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.71 a game against 1.91 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Twente have been correct 86% of the time.

Twente in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 2.0Away 1.7
5.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.1
Home 5.8Away 5.5
18.3
Shots · per game
faced 10.7
Home 19.5Away 17.1
6.8
On target · per game
faced 3.8
Home 7.4Away 6.2
Last 6 games
16 Aug
3-1
vs Zwolle
6-3
13 Aug
3-3
@ Dunajska Streda
12-3
09 Aug
0-1
@ Heerenveen
8-4
06 Aug
6-0
vs Dunajska Streda
7-5
17 May
1-5
@ PSV
9-12
10 May
4-0
vs Sparta Rotterdam
9-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Twente compare with the Netherlands: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.91
Above average
Goals against
1.31
Tighter than most
Record
4W 1D 2L
7 settled
Real goals
2.7 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.91
Conceded1.31

The grey line on each bar is the Netherlands: Eredivisie average (1.63 scored, 1.55 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.91 xG per match · +0.28 above the Netherlands: Eredivisie average of 1.63.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.31 xG per match · -0.24 vs league average of 1.55.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Twente fixtures (3/3).

How Bawler has done on Twente

86%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result100%3/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INFilip ThorvaldsenRWfrom Vålerenga€5.5m
INRamiz ZerroukiDMfrom Feyenoord€2.3m
INAske AdelgaardLBfrom Go Ahead Eagles€2m
INWout WeghorstSTfrom AjaxFree transfer
INJoël DrommelGKfrom PSV Eindhoven€500k
INKrzysztof KurowskiLBfrom Śląsk WrocławFree transfer
INRemko PasveerGKfrom HeraclesFree transfer
OUTMats RotsLBto Hoffenheim€12m
OUTHarrie KusterCMto TelstarUndisclosed
OUTAlec Van HoorenbeeckCBto Hajduk SplitUndisclosed
OUTBas KuipersLBto Sparta RotterdamUndisclosed
OUTRicky van WolfswinkelSTto WoudenbergFree transfer
OUTPrzemyslaw TytonGKto Free agentFree transfer
OUTSam Karssiesto FC EmmenLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Twente and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly