FC Twente beat SC Cambuur 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. SC Cambuur had 10 shots (3 on target) to FC Twente's 23 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
FC Twente beat SC Cambuur 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. SC Cambuur had 10 shots (3 on target) to FC Twente's 23 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.
SC Cambuur 1–4 FC Twente, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Cambuur 11%, the draw 16% and FC Twente 73%.
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.8, Shots 10–23, Shots on target 3–10, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 0–4, Corners 2–9, Saves 6–2, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both SC Cambuur and FC Twente scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente to win 73%, it finished FC Twente won (73% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.