SC Cambuur vs FC Twente prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 19:00 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 30 Aug · 19:00 UK
SC Cambuur 11Draw 16FC Twente 73
Our call before kickoff
73%
FC Twente to win
Landed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–4
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
69%

How it finished

FC Twente beat SC Cambuur 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. SC Cambuur had 10 shots (3 on target) to FC Twente's 23 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

SC CambuurFull-time statsFC Twente
36%Possession64%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.8
10Shots23
3Shots on target10
5Shots inside box13
0Big chances4
2Corners9
6Saves2
6Fouls14
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Twente to win 73%FC Twente won (73% called)
Total goals3.65
Both teams to score56%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SC CambuurFC Twente
0.9
Goals+1.7
2.6
5.9
Shots+11.0
16.9
3.7
On target+2.5
6.2
4.2
Corners+1.0
5.3
SC CambuurFC Twente
0.3
Goals+0.3
0.6
2.7
Shots+5.0
7.7
1.7
On target+1.0
2.7
2.0
Corners+0.5
2.5
SC CambuurFC Twente
0.6
Goals+1.4
2.0
3.2
Shots+6.0
9.2
2.0
On target+1.5
3.5
2.2
Corners+0.5
2.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
FC Twente to score93%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
SC Cambuur to score61%

First half — what we expected

SC Cambuur
34%
to score before half-time
FC Twente
62%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

SC CambuurFC Twente
2.71st-half shots7.7
1.71st-half shots on target2.7
2.01st-half corners2.5

First-half chances

<10%Chance of 7+ shots60%
<10%Chance of 9+ shots37%
47%Chance of 2+ shots on target71%
11%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
81%Chance of 1+ corners87%
32%Chance of 3+ corners43%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · SC Cambuur2.73.2
Shots · FC Twente7.79.2
Shots on target · SC Cambuur1.72.0
Shots on target · FC Twente2.73.5
Corners · SC Cambuur2.02.2
Corners · FC Twente2.52.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.7 / match
FC Twente in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2023FC Twente 4–0 Cambuur
Oct 2022Cambuur 0–1 FC Twente
Mar 2022FC Twente 1–0 Cambuur
Aug 2021Cambuur 2–0 FC Twente
May 2019FC Twente 2–2 Cambuur
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

FC Twente beat SC Cambuur 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals; the match produced 5. SC Cambuur had 10 shots (3 on target) to FC Twente's 23 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

What was the final score in SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

SC Cambuur 1–4 FC Twente, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Cambuur 11%, the draw 16% and FC Twente 73%.

What were the stats in SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.8, Shots 10–23, Shots on target 3–10, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 0–4, Corners 2–9, Saves 6–2, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in SC Cambuur vs FC Twente?

Yes — both SC Cambuur and FC Twente scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for SC Cambuur vs FC Twente right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente to win 73%, it finished FC Twente won (73% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
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