SD Noja and Ribadesella drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured SD Noja at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. SD Noja had 10 shots (7 on target) to Ribadesella's 9 (7), with 57% of the ball against 43%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
SD Noja and Ribadesella drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured SD Noja at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. SD Noja had 10 shots (7 on target) to Ribadesella's 9 (7), with 57% of the ball against 43%.
SD Noja 1–1 Ribadesella, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with SD Noja 46%, the draw 26% and Ribadesella 29%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Shots 10–9, Shots on target 7–7, Corners 3–3, Offsides 0–0.
Yes — both SD Noja and Ribadesella scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SD Noja or draw 71%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.