FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Seattle Sounders FC 1–2 Austin FCMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Seattle Sounders FC to win at 62%. Bawler had Seattle Sounders FC at 62%, the draw at 22% and Austin FC at 16%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Seattle Sounders FC win
62%
Draw
22%
Austin FC win
16%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 0.9
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Seattle Sounders FC or draw
Pre-match: 84%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 22%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.