Austin FC beat Seattle Sounders FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 19 shots (7 on target) to Austin FC's 12 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.2, so Seattle Sounders FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Austin FC beat Seattle Sounders FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 19 shots (7 on target) to Austin FC's 12 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.2, so Seattle Sounders FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Seattle Sounders FC 1–2 Austin FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 62%, the draw 22% and Austin FC 16%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.2, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 12–6, Big chances 2–3, Corners 7–5, Saves 5–6, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Austin FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC to win 62%, it finished Austin FC won (16% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 84%, it finished Missed.