USA: MLSThursday 20 Aug, 01:30 UTC

Seattle Sounders FC vAustin FC

Most likely scoreline
2–1
10% of the time · 3.11 goals expected
Seattle Sounders FC 57%Draw 24%Austin FC 19%
How we get there
Seattle Sounders FCstepAustin FC
2.04Base xG · rolling 26-match1.07
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.04Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.07

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Seattle Sounders average 4.8 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Austin average 3.5 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
5
3
1
1
9
10
5
2
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
6
7
4
1
4
3
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Seattle Sounders FC fixtures & form →Austin FC fixtures & form →

Seattle Sounders vs Austin — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 23 July 2026, Seattle Sounders have won 0, Austin have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
23 July 2026Austin 3–1 Seattle SoundersUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Seattle Sounders 57% · draw 24% · Austin 19%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Seattle Sounders predictions & form →Austin predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.