FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Red Bull New YorkMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Seattle Sounders FC or draw at 79%. Bawler had Seattle Sounders FC at 57%, the draw at 21% and Red Bull New York at 21%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Seattle Sounders FC win
57%
Draw
21%
Result
Red Bull New York win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.3
Total 3.4
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 3.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 86%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 21%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"Over 1.5 Goals is the high-confidence call at 86%, backed by Seattle's 0.91 xG advantage and Jordan Morris's wing threat in a fixture where the hosts project 2.17 expected goals."