Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 01:30 UK
Seattle Sounders FC 57Draw 21Red Bull New York 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Seattle Sounders FC or draw
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
84%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
64%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
67%

How it finished

Seattle Sounders FC and Red Bull New York drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Seattle Sounders FC had 20 shots (6 on target) to Red Bull New York's 9 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.9.

Seattle…Full-time statsRed Bull New…
52%Possession48%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.9
20Shots9
6Shots on target4
15Shots inside box7
2Big chances1
9Corners7
4Saves6
11Fouls15
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSeattle Sounders FC or draw 79%Draw (21% called)
Total goals3.40
Both teams to score64%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 86%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Seattle Sounders FCRed Bull New York
2.2
Goals+0.9
1.3
19.4
Shots+6.8
12.6
6.7
On target+1.3
5.3
6.2
Corners+0.3
5.9
Seattle Sounders FCRed Bull New York
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.6
8.8
Shots+3.4
5.4
2.9
On target+0.5
2.4
2.9
Corners+0.1
2.8
Seattle Sounders FCRed Bull New York
1.5
Goals+0.8
0.7
10.6
Shots+3.4
7.2
3.7
On target+0.8
2.9
3.3
Corners+0.2
3.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Seattle Sounders FC to score89%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Red Bull New York to score72%
Over 2.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Seattle Sounders FC
63%
to score before half-time
Red Bull New York
56%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%

Seattle Sounders FCRed Bull New York
8.81st-half shots5.4
2.91st-half shots on target2.4
2.91st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

60%Chance of 8+ shots21%
39%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
75%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
34%Chance of 4+ shots on target24%
73%Chance of 2+ corners71%
33%Chance of 4+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Seattle Sounders FC8.810.6
Shots · Red Bull New York5.47.2
Shots on target · Seattle Sounders FC2.93.7
Shots on target · Red Bull New York2.42.9
Corners · Seattle Sounders FC2.93.3
Corners · Red Bull New York2.83.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
Red Bull New York in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

Seattle Sounders FC and Red Bull New York drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Seattle Sounders FC had 20 shots (6 on target) to Red Bull New York's 9 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Red Bull New York, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 57%, the draw 21% and Red Bull New York 21%.

What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.9, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 15–7, Big chances 2–1, Corners 9–7, Saves 4–6, Fouls 11–15, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

No. It finished 0–0, so Seattle Sounders FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 79%, it finished Draw (21% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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