FT · SPAIN: LaLiga · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Sevilla 2–1 Rayo VallecanoMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 15 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Sevilla at 44%, draw at 32%, Rayo Vallecano at 24%. The match ended 2-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Sevilla.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Sevilla win
44%
Actual ✓
Draw
32%
Vallecano win
24%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 78%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
BTTS No
Pre-match: 51%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 22%
✗ Lost