NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSunday 09 Aug, 10:15 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam vFeyenoord Rotterdam

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Sparta Rotterdam 38%Draw 31%Feyenoord Rotterdam 31%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
77%
How we get there
Sparta RotterdamstepFeyenoord Rotterdam
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 3.5 goals
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Sparta Rotterdam average 4.7 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Feyenoord average 6.2 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Sparta Rotterdam 38% · draw 31% · Feyenoord 31%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Sparta Rotterdam 01 Feyenoord Rotterdam
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.