Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / Sparta Rotterdam
Team profile

Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Per-game numbers from 36 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.0
a game
16.0 faced
On target
4.4
a game
5.8 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 36 matches
Next match
48%
Sparta Rotterdam win chance
vs Utrecht · Sat 22 Aug 16:45

Sparta Rotterdam prediction: for Sparta Rotterdam's next match — Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht on Saturday 22 Aug, 16:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Sparta Rotterdam win looks most likely (48%).

Sparta Rotterdam sit close to the Eredivisie average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.53 expected goals a game and conceding 1.55. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.17 goals a game against 1.53 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Next up is FC Utrecht, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 48%.

Sparta Rotterdam in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 1.2Away 1.2
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 6.8
Home 4.7Away 4.4
13.0
Shots · per game
faced 16.0
Home 13.6Away 12.4
4.4
On target · per game
faced 5.8
Home 4.6Away 4.2
Last 6 games
14 Aug
3-1
@ Telstar
5-7
09 Aug
0-1
vs Feyenoord
5-10
17 May
2-3
vs Excelsior
5-2
10 May
0-4
@ Twente
2-9
03 May
2-2
vs Go Ahead Eagles
6-8
22 Apr
1-4
@ Telstar
5-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Utrecht · Saturday 22 Aug, 16:45 UTC

Win
48%
This team
Draw
29%
Loss
23%
Utrecht
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Sparta Rotterdam compare with the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.53
Above average
Goals against
1.55
Leakier than most
Record
2W 1D 3L
6 settled
Real goals
1.2 – 1.5
For / against, per match
Scored1.53
Conceded1.55

The grey line on each bar is the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average (1.42 scored, 1.53 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Sparta Rotterdam

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 6
Goals (Over/Under)67%4/6

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Fri 14 Aug@ Telstar
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 09 Augvs Feyenoord Rotterdam
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Excelsior
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 May@ FC Twente
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Apr@ NAC Breda
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs FC Volendam
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INRobin van CruijsenAMfrom FC VolendamUndisclosed
INCasper TerhoAMfrom OH LeuvenUndisclosed
INNick VerschurenCBfrom Ajax€800k
INBas KuipersLBfrom FC TwenteUndisclosed
INLuc Nieuwenhuijsfrom NEC NijmegenUndisclosed
OUTTobias LauritsenSTto Free agentFree transfer
OUTJoshua KitolanoDMto Bodø/GlimtFree transfer
OUTMike KleijnLBto FC VolendamLoan
OUTLance DuijvestijnAMto DarmstadtUndisclosed
OUTPelle ClementDMto FC GroningenFree transfer
OUTSaïd BakariRBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTYouri SchoonderwaldtGKto VVV-VenloUndisclosed
OUTPatrick van AanholtLBto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Sparta Rotterdam and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly