Sporting de Alcázar vs CP Talayuela prediction — Copa del Rey · Sun 4 Oct · 16:30 UK

Copa del Rey · Sun 4 Oct · 16:30 UK
Sporting de Alcázar 47Draw 25CP Talayuela 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
Sporting de Alcázar or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Sporting de Alcázar beat CP Talayuela 1–0. Bawler's model had Sporting de Alcázar in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Sporting de Alcázar had 9 shots (5 on target) to CP Talayuela's 8 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%.

Sporting de…Full-time statsCP Talayuela
50%Possession50%
9Shots8
5Shots on target3
0Corners4
0Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSporting de Alcázar or draw 72%Sporting de Alcázar won (47% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Sporting de AlcázarCP Talayuela
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.3
Sporting de AlcázarCP Talayuela
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
Sporting de AlcázarCP Talayuela
1.2
Goals+0.3
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Sporting de Alcázar to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
CP Talayuela to score71%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Sporting de Alcázar
53%
to score before half-time
CP Talayuela
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Sporting de Alcázar vs CP Talayuela?

Sporting de Alcázar beat CP Talayuela 1–0. Bawler's model had Sporting de Alcázar in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Sporting de Alcázar had 9 shots (5 on target) to CP Talayuela's 8 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%.

What was the final score in Sporting de Alcázar vs CP Talayuela?

Sporting de Alcázar 1–0 CP Talayuela, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Spain: Copa del Rey. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting de Alcázar 47%, the draw 25% and CP Talayuela 28%.

What were the stats in Sporting de Alcázar vs CP Talayuela?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Shots 9–8, Shots on target 5–3, Corners 0–4, Offsides 0–0.

Did both teams score in Sporting de Alcázar vs CP Talayuela?

No. It finished 1–0, so CP Talayuela failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting de Alcázar vs CP Talayuela right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting de Alcázar or draw 72%, it finished Sporting de Alcázar won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Sporting de Alcázar
Before this
27 SeptACP Talayuela2–1 W
All fixtures & results →Sporting de Alcázar form →CP Talayuela form →