FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Saturday, 22 August 2026
St Johnstone 0–0 CelticMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Celtic to win at 66%. Bawler had St Johnstone at 14%, the draw at 20% and Celtic at 66%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
St Johnstone win
14%
Draw
20%
Result
Celtic win
66%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.9 – 2.2
Total 3.2
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.2 against our forecast)
The match produced 3.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Celtic or draw
Pre-match: 86%
No result
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 20%
No result
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.