What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win St Johnstone vs Celtic?
Bawler's model rates this match: Celtic are favoured (66% win probability vs 14% for St Johnstone, 20% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Celtic?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is St Johnstone 0-2 Celtic (10.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.2.
How does Bawler predict St Johnstone vs Celtic?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives St Johnstone 14%, the draw 20% and Celtic 66%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Celtic?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on St Johnstone expecting 0.94 goals and Celtic 2.21.
Over or under 2.5 goals in St Johnstone vs Celtic?
Bawler's model expects 3.2 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 61%.