SCOTLAND: PremiershipSaturday 08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
St Mirren v
St Johnstone
Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
St Mirren 41%Draw 34%St Johnstone 25%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
71%
How we get there
St MirrenstepSt Johnstone1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Not both teams to score
55%
Draw
23%
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
St. Mirren average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (20 competitive matches).
Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
More predictions for these teams
St Mirren vs St Johnstone — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between St Mirren and St Johnstone — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: St Mirren 41% · draw 34% · St Johnstone 25%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
⚡ Full-time recap available
St Mirren 1–0 St JohnstoneSee how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.