Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership / St. Mirren
Team profile

St. Mirren Prediction

Per-game numbers from 40 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.0
a game
11.9 faced
On target
3.7
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
0.8 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 40 matches
Next match
17%
St. Mirren win chance
at Rangers · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

St. Mirren prediction: for St. Mirren's next match — Rangers vs St. Mirren on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Rangers are favoured (55%).

St. Mirren sit close to the Premiership average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.02 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. Next up is a trip to Rangers, where the model has them as underdogs at 17%.

St. Mirren in numbers

40 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 0.6Away 1.1
5.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.5
Home 5.5Away 5.6
12.0
Shots · per game
faced 11.9
Home 12.6Away 11.3
3.7
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 4.0Away 3.4
Last 6 games
08 Aug
1-0
vs St Johnstone
5-2
01 Aug
2-0
@ Falkirk
7-7
17 May
1-1
vs Dundee United
10-2
12 May
2-0
@ Aberdeen
1-6
09 May
0-3
vs Kilmarnock
1-4
02 May
0-1
@ Dundee
6-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Rangers · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
17%
St. Mirren
Draw
28%
Loss
55%
Rangers
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How St. Mirren compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership average, per match.

Goals for
1.02
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Scored1.02
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership average (1.34 scored, 1.40 conceded).

Recent matches (last 2)

Transfer activity

INHenry FieldsonLBfrom Queens ParkFree transfer
INPaul NsioDMfrom RangersLoan
INIsmeal KabiaRWBfrom ArsenalLoan
INJacob ChapmanGKfrom Huddersfield TownUndisclosed
INChris MochrieSTfrom AirdrieoniansFree transfer
INSamuel RamosCMfrom Zemplin MichalovceFree transfer
INLuke ThomasRWfrom Bristol RoversFree transfer
INRoss SinclairGKfrom St. JohnstoneLoan
OUTShamal GeorgeGKto BromleyFree transfer
OUTDan NlunduluSTto Petrolul PloiestiFree transfer
OUTMikaël MandronSTto Stockport CountyFree transfer
OUTMark O'HaraCMto KilmarnockUndisclosed
OUTConor McMenaminRMto ColeraineUndisclosed
OUTTunmise SobowaleCBto Shamrock RoversLoan
OUTScott TanserLMto FalkirkFree transfer
OUTOisin SmythDMto Partick ThistleFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on St. Mirren and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly