BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro LeagueSaturday 08 Aug, 16:15 UTC

Standard Liege vCercle Brugge KSV

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Standard Liege 36%Draw 31%Cercle Brugge KSV 33%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
78%
How we get there
Standard LiegestepCercle Brugge KSV
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Cercle Brugge KSV to win
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Standard Liege average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Cercle Brugge average 5.6 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Standard Liege and Cercle Brugge — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Standard Liege 36% · draw 31% · Cercle Brugge 33%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Standard Liege 22 Cercle Brugge KSV
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.