Bawler / BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League / Cercle Brugge
Team profile

Cercle Brugge Prediction

Per-game numbers from 40 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.8
a game
13.9 faced
On target
4.9
a game
5.1 faced
Goals
1.6 – 1.7
scored – conceded
a game, 40 matches
Next match
19%
Cercle Brugge win chance
at Club Brugge · Sun 23 Aug 16:30

Cercle Brugge prediction: for Cercle Brugge's next match — Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge on Sunday 23 Aug, 16:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Club Brugge are favoured (57%).

Cercle Brugge play open, high-scoring football — 1.56 expected goals created per game, but 1.50 conceded, both above the Jupiler Pro League average. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.20 a game against 1.56 expected. Next up is a trip to Club Brugge, where the model has them as underdogs at 19%.

Cercle Brugge in numbers

40 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
Home 1.6Away 1.6
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.7
Home 5.5Away 5.6
14.8
Shots · per game
faced 13.9
Home 15.9Away 13.7
4.9
On target · per game
faced 5.1
Home 5.6Away 4.2
Last 6 games
14 Aug
3-3
vs St. Truiden
10-3
14 Aug
3-3
vs Sint-Truidense
-
08 Aug
2-2
@ St. Liege
11-7
08 Aug
2-2
@ Standard Liege
11-7
09 May
1-4
@ RAAL La Louvière
-
01 May
2-3
vs Waregem
6-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Club Brugge · Sunday 23 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Win
19%
This team
Draw
25%
Loss
57%
Club Brugge
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Cercle Brugge compare with the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.56
Above average
Goals against
1.50
Leakier than most
Record
1W 2D 2L
5 settled
Real goals
2.2 – 2.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.56
Conceded1.50

The grey line on each bar is the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League average (0.90 scored, 0.75 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.56 xG per match · +0.66 above the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League average of 0.90.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.50 xG per match · +0.75 vs league average of 0.75.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Cercle Brugge fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on Cercle Brugge

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Fri 14 Augvs Sint-Truidense
High confidence: Cercle Brugge KSV or Draw
Sat 08 Aug@ Standard Liege
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 09 May@ RAAL La Louvière
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 01 Mayvs Waregem
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Mar@ Anderlecht
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INLucas MichalSTfrom MonacoLoan
INJoel NdalaLWfrom Manchester City€900k
INGaëtan CouckeGKfrom SampdoriaUndisclosed
INLukas MondeleCMfrom Francs Borains€400k
INLazare AmaniDMfrom Kifisia FC€300k
INAbdoulie MannehLWfrom MjällbyLoan
OUTFlávio NazinhoLBto MonacoUndisclosed
OUTWarlesonGKto Botafogo RJ€750k
OUTJonas LietaertCBto LokerenFree transfer
OUTNils De WildeCMto AalstFree transfer
OUTBéni Mpanzuto FC DordrechtFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Cercle Brugge and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly