Before kickoff our call was Sweden or draw at 65%. Bawler had Sweden at 40%, the draw at 25% and Poland at 35%. The match finished 3–1.
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.