Switzerland vBosnia-Herzegovina
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 72% because Switzerland's 1.56 xG and Bosnia's 1.18 xG combine for 2.74 total — enough attacking threat from creator Xhaka and scorer Džeko to break the stalemate.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Switzerland average 4.3 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Switzerland 43% · draw 31% · Bosnia-Herzegovina 26%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.