How it finished
Palestine beat Tajikistan 4–2. Bawler's model favoured Tajikistan at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Palestine 17%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Tajikistan vs Palestine?
Palestine beat Tajikistan 4–2. Bawler's model favoured Tajikistan at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Palestine 17%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6.
What was the final score in Tajikistan vs Palestine?
Tajikistan 2–4 Palestine, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Tajikistan 59%, the draw 24% and Palestine 17%.
Did both teams score in Tajikistan vs Palestine?
Yes — both Tajikistan and Palestine scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Tajikistan vs Palestine right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Tajikistan or draw 83%, it finished Palestine won (17% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.