World: World CupSaturday 20 Jun, 03:00 UTC

Türkiye vParaguay

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.42 goals expected
Türkiye 26%Draw 34%Paraguay 40%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
69%

Over 1.5 Goals projects at 69% because both sides combine for 2.42 expected goals, with Paraguay's creator Almirón and striker Sanabria driving an xG threat (1.35) that edges Türkiye's (1.06) on the road.

How we get there
TürkiyestepParaguay
1.06Base xG · rolling 26-match1.35
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.06Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.35
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Both teams to score
52%
Draw
23%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
12
8
4
1
1
9
13
9
4
1
2
5
7
5
2
1
3
2
2
2
1
4
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Türkiye vs Paraguay — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Türkiye and Paraguay — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Türkiye 26% · draw 34% · Paraguay 40%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Türkiye 01 Paraguay
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.