Bawler / World: World Cup / Paraguay
Team profile

Paraguay Prediction

Per-game numbers from 5 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
7.0
a game
12.0 faced
On target
2.0
a game
5.0 faced
Goals
0.6 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 5 matches
Corners
1.0
a game
3.0 against

Paraguay prediction: Bawler's model rates Paraguay at 1.10 expected goals scored and 1.41 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 38% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Paraguay fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Paraguay sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.10 expected goals a game and conceding 1.41. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Paraguay have been correct 38% of the time.

Paraguay in numbers

5 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 0.0Away 1.0
1.0
Corners · per game
give up 3.0
Home 1.0
7.0
Shots · per game
faced 12.0
Home 7.0
2.0
On target · per game
faced 5.0
Home 2.0
Last 5 games
04 Jul
0-1
vs France
-
29 Jun
1-1
@ Germany
-
26 Jun
0-0
vs Australia
1-3
20 Jun
1-0
@ Türkiye
-
13 Jun
1-4
@ United States
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Paraguay compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.10
Below average
Goals against
1.41
Leakier than most
Record
3W 2D 3L
8 settled
Real goals
1.1 – 1.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.10
Conceded1.41

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.10 xG per match · -0.23 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Paraguay matches give the model a harder read here — 2/6 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Paraguay

38%
of high-confidence calls correct — 3 of 8, below the ~65% baseline — a hard team to read
Goals (Over/Under)33%2/6
Result50%1/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

More on Paraguay and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly