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Bawler / World: World Cup / Paraguay

Paraguay

World: World Cup

Bawler's full prediction history and upcoming fixtures for Paraguay. Every pick logged before kickoff, every result settled from live data. The Poisson model has been applied to 5 Paraguay fixtures, with 4 now settled.

> Next match
Away · World: World Cup

Türkiye vs Paraguay

Saturday 20 Jun, 03:00 UTC
Model win prob
40%
Paraguay win
40%
Draw
34%
Türkiye win
26%
Banker pick · Over 1.5 Goals @ 69%
Full match preview →
> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.21-0.06 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.190.17 vs league
◇ = World: World Cup average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Paraguay were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the World: World Cup average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Paraguay are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
01234@ Greece: actual 1, xG 1.07@ Morocco: actual 1, xG 1.05vs Nicaragua: actual 4, xG 1.45@ United States: actual 1, xG 1.25@Greece@MoroccNicara@United
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +2.2 goals vs xG (+0.54/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Paraguay actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.19 xG per match · -0.17 vs league average of 1.36.
> Squad availability · Paraguay vs Türkiye
Fetching squad availability…

How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.

> Form · last 4
Overall: 2W / 0D / 2L · Avg goals 1.8 for, 1.5 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Paraguay's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.21
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.19
per match
Banker Hit Rate
75%
3/4 picks
> Bawler's record on Paraguay by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2
Result50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Paraguay fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Paraguay matches.

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler