How it finished
Uganda and Congo DR drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Congo DR at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals; nobody scored. Uganda had 8 shots (2 on target) to Congo DR's 15 (2), with 10% of the ball against 90%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Uganda vs Congo DR?
Uganda and Congo DR drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Congo DR at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals; nobody scored. Uganda had 8 shots (2 on target) to Congo DR's 15 (2), with 10% of the ball against 90%.
What was the final score in Uganda vs Congo DR?
Uganda 0–0 Congo DR, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Uganda 28%, the draw 30% and Congo DR 43%.
What were the stats in Uganda vs Congo DR?
Full-time: Possession 10%–90%, Shots 8–15, Shots on target 2–2, Corners 3–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Uganda vs Congo DR?
No. It finished 0–0, so Uganda failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Uganda vs Congo DR right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Congo DR or draw 72%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.