FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Union St.-Gilloise 3–0 AnderlechtMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Union St.-Gilloise or draw at 81%. Bawler had Union St.-Gilloise at 58%, the draw at 23% and Anderlecht at 19%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Union St.-Gilloise win
58%
Result
Draw
23%
Anderlecht win
19%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Union St.-Gilloise or draw
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.