Union St.-Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Union St.-Gilloise had 15 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 12 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Union St.-Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3–0. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Union St.-Gilloise had 15 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 12 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.4.
Union St.-Gilloise 3–0 Anderlecht, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 58%, the draw 23% and Anderlecht 19%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.4, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 6–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 3–0, so Anderlecht failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Union St.-Gilloise or draw 81%, it finished Union St.-Gilloise won (58% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No.