Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Tuesday 07 Jul, 00:00 UTC

United States vs Belgium — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 81.0% · @ 1.23
VALUE
United States or draw
Model 70.9% · @ 1.41
DARK HORSE
Over 3.5 goals
Model 26.3% · @ 3.81
BAWL OUT
Over 2.5 goals + United States or draw + Leandro Trossard 1+ Shot on Target + 9 or more corners
Model 23.9% · @ 4.18x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Romelu Lukaku
Belgium · Napoli
48%@ 2.08x fair
Anytime Assist
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium · Napoli
44%@ 2.27x fair
Anytime Scorer
Leandro Trossard
Belgium · Arsenal
36%@ 2.78x fair
See today's free picks ▶

Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly