United States vBelgium
Over 1.5 Goals projects at 81% probability because combined xG of 2.79 and even win odds (37% US, 31% Belgium) signal a fixture built for multiple goals despite the tight quality gap.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Belgium average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
United States vs Belgium — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between United States and Belgium — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: United States 37% · draw 31% · Belgium 31%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.