Uruguay vCape Verde
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 74% because both sides combine for 2.61 xG, with Uruguay's creator Valverde and Cape Verde's scorer Mendes primed to unlock a low-stakes, open affair.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Uruguay average 6.0 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Cape Verde average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Uruguay vs Cape Verde — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Uruguay and Cape Verde — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Uruguay 38% · draw 32% · Cape Verde 30%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.