Uzbekistan vColombia
Over 1.5 Goals at 73% is the play—Uzbekistan's Shomurodov and Colombia's Díaz carry identical 22% xG shares in a fixture projecting just 2.63 total expected goals, signaling efficient finishing from both sides' primary scorers.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Colombia average 4.3 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Uzbekistan vs Colombia — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Uzbekistan and Colombia — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Uzbekistan 31% · draw 32% · Colombia 37%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.