FT · Belgium: Pro League · Sunday, 06 September 2026

Waasland-Beveren 3–0 OH LeuvenMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 06 September 2026

Waasland-Beveren
3–0
Waasland-Beveren win
OH Leuven

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Waasland-Beveren or draw at 66%. Bawler had Waasland-Beveren at 39%, the draw at 27% and OH Leuven at 34%. The match finished 3–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Waasland-Beveren win
39%
Result
Draw
27%
OH Leuven win
34%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.4 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.9
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 51%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals sits at 76% forecast probability, driven by a combined expected-goals total of 2.74 that heavily favors a multi-goal affair."

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