FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Wednesday, 02 September 2026

West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Charlton AthleticMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 02 September 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was West Bromwich Albion or draw at 79%. Bawler had West Bromwich Albion at 52%, the draw at 27% and Charlton Athletic at 21%. The match finished 1–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

West Bromwich Albion win
52%
Draw
27%
Result
Charlton Athletic win
21%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 0.9
Total 2.5
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 0.4
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.5 of our 2.5.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
West Bromwich Albion or draw
Pre-match: 79%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 24%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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