FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Tuesday, 01 September 2026
West Ham United 4–2 Wolverhampton WanderersMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 01 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was West Ham United or draw at 77%. Bawler had West Ham United at 51%, the draw at 26% and Wolverhampton Wanderers at 23%. The match finished 4–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
West Ham United win
51%
Result
Draw
26%
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
23%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.0
Total 2.7
Actual
4 – 2
Total 6 (+3.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 3.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
West Ham United or draw
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 28%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.