West Ham United beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–2. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. West Ham United had 12 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 17 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
West Ham United beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–2. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 6. West Ham United had 12 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 17 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.9.
West Ham United 4–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Ham United 51%, the draw 26% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 23%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.9, Shots 12–17, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 3–0, Corners 6–7, Saves 2–2, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Yes — both West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 77%, it finished West Ham United won (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.