World Cup 2026 — kicks off 11 June.See predictions →
Bawler / England: Premier League / West Ham
West Ham crest

West Ham

England: Premier League

West Ham are a team caught between modest attack and leaky defence, averaging just 1.24 xG for whilst conceding 1.66 per match—a profile that leaves little margin for error. Their recent form has been brutal, dropping five consecutive fixtures without a draw or win, a sequence that compounds structural attacking limitations. With no imminent fixtures in the prediction window, the model's immediate focus remains on identifying when defensive vulnerabilities stabilise enough to offer value. Bawler's Banker selections have maintained a perfect 5/5 conversion rate on Hammers matches, suggesting the site's algorithms have effectively navigated their volatility.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.25-0.20 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.63+0.15 vs league
◇ = England: Premier League average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals West Ham were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the England: Premier League average — if the bar extends past the diamond, West Ham are above average there.

> xG performance · last 6 matches
0123@ Aston Villa: actual 0, xG 1.18vs Leeds: actual 2, xG 1.47@ Brentford: actual 0, xG 1.17vs Arsenal: actual 0, xG 1.26@ Newcastle: actual 1, xG 1.15vs Leeds: actual 3, xG 1.30@Aston Leeds@BrentfArsena@NewcasLeeds
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -1.5 goals vs xG (-0.25/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals West Ham actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.25 xG per match · -0.20 above the England: Premier League average of 1.45.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.63 xG per match · +0.15 vs league average of 1.47.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on West Ham fixtures (3/3).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 1W / 0D / 5L · Avg goals 1.0 for, 2.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from West Ham's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
6
6 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.25
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.63
per match
Banker Hit Rate
83%
5/6 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on West Ham matches
83%
hit rate over 6 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a West Ham fixture, the model lands 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on West Ham by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on West Ham fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for West Ham matches.

> Recent matches (last 6)

> More from Bawler