Bawler / England: Premier League / West Ham
Team profile

West Ham Prediction

Per-game numbers from 40 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.9
a game
15.0 faced
On target
3.9
a game
5.2 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.7
scored – conceded
a game, 40 matches
Next match
56%
West Ham win chance
vs Charlton · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

West Ham prediction: for West Ham's next match — West Ham vs Charlton on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a West Ham win looks most likely (56%).

West Ham sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.30 expected goals a game and conceding 1.54. Next up is Charlton Athletic, where the model makes them clear favourites at 56%.

West Ham in numbers

40 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
Home 1.5Away 1.0
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 6.1
Home 5.1Away 4.5
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 15.0
Home 11.6Away 10.2
3.9
On target · per game
faced 5.2
Home 4.1Away 3.6
Last 6 games
08 Aug
3-1
vs Portsmouth
3-7
24 May
3-0
vs Leeds
6-4
17 May
1-3
@ Newcastle
1-9
10 May
0-1
vs Arsenal
4-3
02 May
0-3
@ Brentford
6-2
25 Apr
2-1
vs Everton
3-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Charlton · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
56%
West Ham
Draw
28%
Loss
16%
Charlton
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How West Ham compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.30
Below average
Goals against
1.54
Leakier than most
Record
2W 0D 5L
7 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 1.9
For / against, per match
Scored1.30
Conceded1.54

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.44 scored, 1.47 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on West Ham fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on West Ham

86%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4
Result67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Tue 25 Aug@ Southampton

Recent matches (last 7)

Sat 08 Augvs Portsmouth
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 Mayvs Leeds United
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 May@ Newcastle United
High confidence: 1X
Sun 10 Mayvs Arsenal
High confidence: X2
Sat 02 May@ Brentford
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Aprvs Leeds
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Mar@ Aston Villa
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INArne EngelsDMfrom Celtic€26m
INManor SolomonLWfrom Tottenham Hotspur€5.8m
INJoël VeltmanRBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTMateus FernandesCMto Tottenham Hotspur€100m
OUTCrysencio SummervilleLWto Al Hilal€65m
OUTFreddie PottsDMto Club Brugge€10m
OUTAdama TraoréRWto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTCallum WilsonSTto BrentfordFree transfer
OUTCallum MarshallSTto Luton TownUndisclosed
OUTLukasz FabianskiGKto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTMichael ForbesCBto Dundee UnitedFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on West Ham and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly