FT · England: Championship · Friday, 11 September 2026
West Ham United 6–0 WrexhamMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 11 September 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was West Ham United to win at 67%. Bawler had West Ham United at 67%, the draw at 20% and Wrexham at 13%. The match finished 6–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
West Ham United win
67%
Result
Draw
20%
Wrexham win
13%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 0.9
Total 3.0
Actual
6 – 0
Total 6 (+3.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 0.4
From the match itself
The match produced 3.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
West Ham United to win
Pre-match: 67%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 36%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.
What we said pre-match
"West Ham's attacking firepower—led by Castellanos who accounts for over a quarter of their expected output—should overwhelm Wrexham's depleted offense in a home win, with the hosts generating 2.16 xG to 0.82."