Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Bayer Leverkusen
Team profile

Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Per-game numbers from 46 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.1
a game
12.8 faced
On target
4.8
a game
4.9 faced
Goals
1.8 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 46 matches
Corners
5.3
a game
4.3 against

Bayer Leverkusen prediction: Bawler's model rates Bayer Leverkusen at 2.46 expected goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match across 3 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have lost 2 of their last 3 settled matches. No Bayer Leverkusen fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Bayer Leverkusen are the most complete profile in this data: creating 2.46 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.43. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 3. Across 3 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Bayer Leverkusen have been correct 100% of the time.

Bayer Leverkusen in numbers

46 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 2.0Away 1.6
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
Home 6.2Away 4.5
14.1
Shots · per game
faced 12.8
Home 16.7Away 11.4
4.8
On target · per game
faced 4.9
Home 5.9Away 3.8
Last 6 games
16 May
1-1
vs Hamburger SV
8-3
09 May
1-3
@ Stuttgart
6-7
02 May
4-1
vs RB Leipzig
7-3
25 Apr
2-1
@ FC Koln
5-2
18 Apr
1-2
vs Augsburg
11-4
11 Apr
1-0
@ Dortmund
5-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Bayer Leverkusen compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
2.46
Above average
Goals against
1.43
Tighter than most
Record
0W 1D 2L
3 settled
Real goals
1.7 – 2.7
For / against, per match
Scored2.46
Conceded1.43

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 2.46 xG per match · +0.79 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.43 xG per match · -0.26 vs league average of 1.69.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Bayer Leverkusen fixtures (3/3).

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INAfonso MoreiraLWfrom Lyon€30m
INMiguel GutiérrezLWBfrom Napoli€26m
INFacundo MedinaCBfrom Marseille€23m
INKennet EichhornDMfrom Hertha BSC€9m
INKerim AlajbegovicLWfrom Salzburg€8m
INLuca ErleinRBfrom Hoffenheim€2m
OUTPiero HincapiéLBto Arsenal€40m
OUTKerim AlajbegovicLWto Juventus€32m
OUTAlejandro GrimaldoLWBto Atletico Madrid€22m
OUTAbdoulaye FayeCBto Celta VigoLoan
OUTFrancis OnyekaAMto ElversbergLoan
OUTAndrea NataliCBto AZ Alkmaar€2m
OUTNoah MbambaCMto LorientLoan
OUTAlejo SarcoSTto Sporting GijonUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Bayer Leverkusen and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly