Bawler / World: World Cup / Brazil
Team profile

Brazil Prediction

Per-game numbers from 5 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
15.5
a game
8.8 faced
On target
6.3
a game
3.8 faced
Goals
2.0 – 0.8
scored – conceded
a game, 5 matches
Corners
5.3
a game
4.5 against

Brazil prediction: Bawler's model rates Brazil at 1.62 expected goals scored and 1.24 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 88% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Brazil fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Brazil carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.62 expected goals per game against a World Cup average of 1.33. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.62 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Brazil have been correct 88% of the time.

Brazil in numbers

5 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.0
Goals · per game
let in 0.8
Home 1.8Away 3.0
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
Home 5.0Away 6.0
15.5
Shots · per game
faced 8.8
Home 13.7Away 21.0
6.3
On target · per game
faced 3.8
Home 5.3Away 9.0
Last 5 games
05 Jul
1-2
vs Norway
5-5
29 Jun
2-1
vs Japan
6-2
24 Jun
3-0
@ Scotland
6-7
20 Jun
3-0
vs Haiti
4-4
13 Jun
1-1
vs Morocco
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Brazil compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.62
Above average
Goals against
1.24
Tighter than most
Record
5W 1D 2L
8 settled
Real goals
2.0 – 1.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.62
Conceded1.24

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.62 xG per match · +0.29 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Brazil fixtures (6/6).

How Bawler has done on Brazil

88%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%6/6
Result50%1/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

More on Brazil and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly