Bawler's full prediction history and upcoming fixtures for Brazil. Every pick logged before kickoff, every result settled from live data. The Poisson model has been applied to 5 Brazil fixtures, with 4 now settled.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Brazil were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the World: World Cup average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Brazil are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Brazil actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Brazil's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Brazil fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Brazil matches.