How it finished
Brazil beat India 4–0. Bawler's model had Brazil in front at 94% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. India had 9 shots (3 on target) to Brazil's 20 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won India vs Brazil?
Brazil beat India 4–0. Bawler's model had Brazil in front at 94% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. India had 9 shots (3 on target) to Brazil's 20 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.2.
What was the final score in India vs Brazil?
India 0–4 Brazil, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with India 1%, the draw 5% and Brazil 94%.
What were the stats in India vs Brazil?
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–1.2, Shots 9–20, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 0–2, Corners 6–8, Saves 3–2, Fouls 4–7, Offsides 1–11.
Did both teams score in India vs Brazil?
No. It finished 0–4, so India failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 24% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for India vs Brazil right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brazil to win 94%, it finished Brazil won (94% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 24%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.