How it finished
Russia beat Iran 2–0. Bawler's model had Russia in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Russia had 12 shots (5 on target) to Iran's 8 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Russia vs Iran?
Russia beat Iran 2–0. Bawler's model had Russia in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Russia had 12 shots (5 on target) to Iran's 8 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Russia vs Iran?
Russia 2–0 Iran, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Russia 47%, the draw 26% and Iran 27%.
What were the stats in Russia vs Iran?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.4, Shots 12–8, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 2–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 5–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–17, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Russia vs Iran?
No. It finished 2–0, so Iran failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Russia vs Iran right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Russia or draw 73%, it finished Russia won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.