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Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Leicester
Leicester crest

Leicester

ENGLAND: Championship

Leicester operate as a blunt attacking unit (1.06 xG per match) whilst defending with persistent vulnerability (1.43 conceded), a profile that has yielded just one win across their last five settled games alongside three draws. Their recent form suggests a team treading water—capable of neutralising opponents but lacking the cutting edge to consistently convert chances into victories. With no imminent fixtures in the current window, focus shifts to their underlying metrics, which indicate that matches involving Leicester tend toward competitive, low-scoring affairs. Bawler's model has backed Leicester selections at an 80% banker success rate, reflecting genuine edge in identifying when their defensive frailties are priced into the market.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.06-0.22 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.43+0.15 vs league
◇ = ENGLAND: Championship average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Leicester were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the ENGLAND: Championship average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Leicester are above average there.

> xG performance · last 5 matches
0123@ Watford: actual 0, xG 0.93vs Preston: actual 2, xG 1.39@ Sheffield Wed: actual 1, xG 1.22@ Portsmouth: actual 0, xG 0.91@ Blackburn: actual 1, xG 0.88@WatforPresto@Sheffi@Portsm@Blackb
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -1.3 goals vs xG (-0.26/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Leicester actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.06 xG per match · -0.22 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.29.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.43 xG per match · +0.15 vs league average of 1.28.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 1W / 3D / 1L · Avg goals 0.8 for, 0.8 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Leicester's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
5 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.06
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.43
per match
Banker Hit Rate
80%
4/5 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Leicester matches
80%
hit rate over 5 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Leicester fixture, the model lands 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Leicester by market
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Leicester fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Leicester matches.

> Recent matches (last 5)

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