Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Leicester
Team profile

Leicester Prediction

Per-game numbers from 49 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.3
a game
12.6 faced
On target
3.9
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 49 matches
Corners
5.3
a game
5.8 against

Leicester prediction: Bawler's model rates Leicester at 1.06 expected goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 83% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Leicester fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Leicester sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.06 expected goals a game and conceding 1.43. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Leicester have been correct 83% of the time.

Leicester in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.3Away 1.2
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 5.8
Home 6.1Away 4.5
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 12.6
Home 12.7Away 11.9
3.9
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 3.6Away 4.2
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-1
@ Notts County
5-3
08 Aug
1-0
vs Northampton
7-5
08 Aug
1-0
vs Northampton Town
7-5
02 May
1-0
@ Blackburn
11-9
24 Apr
1-1
vs Millwall
2-12
21 Apr
2-2
vs Hull
9-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Leicester compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.06
Below average
Goals against
1.43
Leakier than most
Record
2W 3D 1L
6 settled
Real goals
0.8 – 0.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.06
Conceded1.43

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.06 xG per match · -0.21 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.27.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.43 xG per match · +0.15 vs league average of 1.28.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Leicester fixtures (3/4).

How Bawler has done on Leicester

83%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 6, well above the ~65% baseline
Result75%3/4
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

More on Leicester and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly