BAWLER
← All teams
Mainz
Bundesliga · Team page

Mainz

FormDWLWL
82%
Our hit rate on MAI
11
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 2

Colour = model difficulty for Mainz
SCH (A)
17 Oct
WER (H)
24 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs Bundesliga average · 5 matches since 1 Jul 2026
19.2lge avg 15.3
Shots per game
6.0lge avg 5.3
Shots on target per game
2.6lge avg 1.8
Goals scored per game
2.0lge avg 1.9
Goals conceded per game
2.4lge avg 1.6
xG for per game
1.6lge avg 1.7
xG against per game
5.6lge avg 5.3
Corners per game
Next fixture · Sat 17 Oct 14:30
Schalke 04Schalke 04vsMainzMainz
Medium confidence · Both teams to score59%
Mainz win42%
Draw26%
Schalke 04 win32%
Most likely score1-1 · 11%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to scoreYes · 59%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
MainzPhillip TietzFWD · 0.67 xG per 900.67
MainzRansford KönigsdörfferFWD · 0.63 xG per 900.63
MainzSheraldo BeckerFWD · 0.40 xG per 900.40
Our record on Mainz · settled in publicFull track record →
10 OctMainz v Bayer LeverkusenOver 1.5 goals84%WON
19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach v MainzOver 1.5 goals82%WON
12 SeptMainz v Eintracht FrankfurtMainz or draw77%LOST
6 SeptHamburger SV v MainzOver 1.5 goals82%WON
MainzMainz· continues from the hero above49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
LOSS3–4vs Bayer Leverkusen10 OctWIN4–3@ Borussia Mönchengladbach19 SeptLOSS1–3vs Eintracht Frankfurt12 SeptWIN5–0@ Hamburg SV6 SeptDRAW0–0vs SC Paderborn 0729 Aug
WIN2–0@ 1. FC Heidenheim16 May
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.41.3
Shots14.811.4
On target4.43.8
Corners6.13.4
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.41.5
Shots11.014.6
On target4.15.3
Corners4.24.8
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.70.6
Shots6.25.3
On target2.31.9
Corners2.51.9
24 of the 25 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.8
Shots5.36.8
On target1.82.5
Corners1.42.1
22 of the 24 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.8
Shots8.46.2
On target2.22.1
Corners3.41.6
24 of the 25 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.9
Shots5.38.1
On target1.93.0
Corners2.82.6
22 of the 24 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 30 players

Coach Urs Fischer · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
27Robin Zentner31 · GER
40Maximilian Kinzig22 · GER
Defenders
Daniel Imafidon19 · GER
3Fabio Gruber24 · PER
4Stefan Posch29 · AUT
16Stefan Bell35 · GER
21Danny da Costa33 · GER
+3 more
31Dominik Kohr32 · GER
47Rael Nakuzola19 · GER
48Kacper Potulski18 · POL
Midfielders
Jeremiah Debrah17 · GER
2Phillipp Mwene32 · AUT
5Eric Martel24 · GER
6Kaishu Sano25 · JPN
7Jae-Sung Lee34 · KOR
+7 more
8Paul Nebel23 · GER
10Nadiem Amiri29 · GER
15Lennard Maloney26 · USA
19Anthony Caci29 · FRA
20Otto Ruoppi20 · FIN
24Sota Kawasaki25 · JPN
30Silvan Widmer33 · SUI
Forwards
Fabio Moreno Fell26 · GER
9Phillip Tietz★29 · GER
23Sheraldo Becker★31 · SUR
+2 more
26Silas Katompa Mvumpa28 · COD
39Alynho Haidara18 · CIV

Transfer desk · this window

All 21 moves →
OUTMarco RichterRW · to Free agentUndisclosed2 Sept
OUTHyun-Seok HongAM · to FC MidtjyllandLoan2 Sept
OUTAndreas Hanche-OlsenCB · to Chicago Fire FCUndisclosed2 Sept
OUTWilliam BøvingLW · to 1. FC NürnbergLoan28 Aug
INStefan PoschCB · from Como€4m12 Aug

Common questions

Who do Mainz play next?

Mainz play Schalke 04 away on Sat 17 Oct 14:30 UK. The published call is both teams to score, at 59%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Mainz v Schalke 04 call?

Medium confidence: Both teams to score, at 59%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Mainz?

9 of 11 settled Mainz forecasts were right (82%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Mainz averaging this season?

19.2 shots and 2.6 goals a game, conceding 2.0, counted over 5 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Mainz signed and sold?

21 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Stefan Posch. The newest out: Marco Richter, Hyun-Seok Hong, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, William Bøving. Follow the transfer desk

The Mainz fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Mainz's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sat 24 Octvs Werder Bremen58%23%20%Over 61%Yes 58%Over 2.5 goals 61%

Head-to-head · the fixtures ahead

Every recorded meeting, oriented to Mainz
OpponentMetWDLLast meetingPreview
Schalke 0410136Mainz 05 2-3 Schalke 04 · May 2023Match preview →
Werder Bremen10325Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz 05 · Mar 2026Match preview →

Bundesliga table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Freiburg541014-4+1013
2Dortmund541011-4+713
3Bayern München532016-4+1211
4Leverkusen531114-8+610
5RB Leipzig530215-5+109
6Augsburg522113-8+58
7Werder Bremen522110-1008
8Mainz521213-10+37
9Elversberg52128-807
10Köln52128-10-27
11VfB Stuttgart52038-9-16
12Hamburger SV52035-15-106
13Schalke 0451224-6-25
14Frankfurt51229-16-75
15Paderborn51133-7-44
16Union Berlin51135-17-124
17Hoffenheim51049-13-43
18M'gladbach50057-18-110