Bawler / EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification / Midtjylland
Team profile

Midtjylland Prediction

Per-game numbers from 14 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.8
a game
12.8 faced
On target
5.2
a game
4.8 faced
Goals
2.0 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 14 matches
Corners
5.3
a game
5.6 against

Midtjylland prediction: Bawler's model rates Midtjylland at 1.61 expected goals scored and 1.01 conceded per match across 3 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 33% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 3 settled matches. No Midtjylland fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Midtjylland play open, high-scoring football — 1.61 expected goals created per game, but 1.01 conceded, both above the Conference League - Qualification average. Across 3 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Midtjylland have been correct 33% of the time.

Midtjylland in numbers

14 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.0
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 2.0Away 2.0
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 5.6
Home 5.0Away 5.6
11.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.8
Home 14.4Away 9.1
5.2
On target · per game
faced 4.8
Home 6.6Away 3.9
Last 6 games
16 Aug
1-1
@ Lyngby
5-3
13 Aug
3-2
vs Bohemians
6-3
06 Aug
2-0
@ Bohemians
8-3
02 Aug
2-1
vs Horsens
7-3
19 Mar
1-3
vs Nott'm Forest
4-11
12 Mar
1-0
@ Nott'm Forest
2-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Midtjylland compare with the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification average, per match.

Goals for
1.61
Above average
Goals against
1.01
Leakier than most
Record
2W 0D 1L
3 settled
Real goals
2.0 – 1.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.61
Conceded1.01

The grey line on each bar is the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification average (0.07 scored, 0.08 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.61 xG per match · +1.54 above the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification average of 0.07.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.01 xG per match · +0.92 vs league average of 0.08.
Tough market: Result
Midtjylland matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INRasmus KristensenRBfrom Eintracht Frankfurt€6m
INKjell WätjenAMfrom Borussia DortmundUndisclosed
INStanley IheanachoLWfrom MafraUndisclosed
INBeni JuniorLBfrom CD MarfaFree transfer
INFriday EtimSTfrom FredericiaUndisclosed
INNordin BakkerGKfrom SC HeerenveenUndisclosed
OUTAral SimsirAMto Trabzonspor€13m
OUTHan-Beom LeeCBto Club Brugge€7m
OUTOla BrynhildsenSTto Bodø/Glimt€2m
OUTKevin MbabuRBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTJonatan LindekildeAMto FredericiaLoan
OUTFriday EtimSTto FredericiaUndisclosed
OUTPaulinhoLWBto Botafogo RJFree transfer
OUTBilal KontehCBto Vendsyssel FFLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Midtjylland and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly