Bawler / Turkey: Süper Lig / Trabzonspor
Team profile

Trabzonspor Prediction

Per-game numbers from 35 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.9
a game
13.6 faced
On target
5.2
a game
3.9 faced
Goals
1.8 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 35 matches
Next match
41%
Trabzonspor win chance
vs Basaksehir · Sun 23 Aug 16:00

Trabzonspor prediction: for Trabzonspor's next match — Trabzonspor vs Basaksehir on Sunday 23 Aug, 16:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Trabzonspor win looks most likely (41%).

Trabzonspor sit close to the Süper Lig average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.54 expected goals a game and conceding 1.55. Next up is Istanbul Basaksehir, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 41%.

Trabzonspor in numbers

35 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 1.7Away 1.8
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
Home 4.7Away 4.9
14.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.6
Home 16.0Away 13.9
5.2
On target · per game
faced 3.9
Home 5.4Away 5.0
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-1
@ Kasimpasa
10-3
17 May
0-3
vs Genclerbirligi
5-3
09 May
2-1
@ Besiktas
3-6
02 May
1-1
vs Göztepe
4-3
27 Apr
1-2
@ Konyaspor
5-7
19 Apr
1-1
vs Basaksehir
5-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Basaksehir · Sunday 23 Aug, 16:00 UTC

Win
41%
Trabzonspor
Draw
33%
Loss
26%
Basaksehir
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Trabzonspor compare with the Turkey: Süper Lig average, per match.

Goals for
1.54
Above average
Goals against
1.55
Leakier than most
Record
1W 1D 1L
3 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 1.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.54
Conceded1.55

The grey line on each bar is the Turkey: Süper Lig average (1.34 scored, 1.41 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.54 xG per match · +0.20 above the Turkey: Süper Lig average of 1.34.

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INMohamed SalahRWfrom Free agentFree transfer
INAral SimsirAMfrom FC Midtjylland€13m
INAndré OnanaGKfrom Manchester UnitedLoan
INErnest MuçiAMfrom Beşiktaş€8.5m
INSidny Lopes CabralLBfrom Benfica€7m
INRené MitongoSTfrom Standard Liege€3m
INCenk ÖzkacarCBfrom Valencia€1.8m
INRuslan MalinovskyCMfrom GenoaFree transfer
OUTChrist Inao OulaïDMto Fiorentina€26m
OUTFelipe AugustoSTto Zenit St. Petersburg€15m
OUTOleksandr ZubkovRWto AEK Athens€4m
OUTSalih MalkoçogluCBto Al-Jazira€3.8m
OUTMathias Fjørtoft LøvikLBto Molde€2.5m
OUTMuhammed ChamAMto FK Crvena ZvezdaLoan
OUTSerdar SaatçiCBto Corum FKUndisclosed
OUTArif BoslukLBto KonyasporUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Trabzonspor and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly