How it finished
Paraguay beat Colombia 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Colombia at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Paraguay 11%. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Colombia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Paraguay's 5 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Colombia vs Paraguay?
Paraguay beat Colombia 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Colombia at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Paraguay 11%. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Colombia had 14 shots (2 on target) to Paraguay's 5 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Colombia vs Paraguay?
Colombia 0–1 Paraguay, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colombia 66%, the draw 23% and Paraguay 11%.
What were the stats in Colombia vs Paraguay?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.0, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–1, Saves 1–2, Fouls 14–20, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Colombia vs Paraguay?
No. It finished 0–1, so Colombia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 38% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Colombia vs Paraguay right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colombia to win 66%, it finished Paraguay won (11% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 38%, it finished No.