Bolivia vs Paraguay prediction — International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 21:30 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 21:30 UK · Neutral venue
Bolivia 9Draw 20Paraguay 71
Our call before kickoff
71%
Paraguay to win
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
68%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
37%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Paraguay beat Bolivia 2–0. Bawler's model had Paraguay in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Bolivia had 9 shots (6 on target) to Paraguay's 6 (4), with 48% of the ball against 52%.

BoliviaFull-time statsParaguay
48%Possession52%
9Shots6
6Shots on target4
3Corners5
12Fouls15
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callParaguay to win 71%Paraguay won (71% called)
Total goals2.62
Both teams to score37%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BoliviaParaguay
0.6
Goals+1.4
2.0
BoliviaParaguay
0.2
Goals+0.4
0.6
BoliviaParaguay
0.3
Goals+1.1
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Paraguay to score86%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Both teams to score — no63%

First half — what we expected

Bolivia
22%
to score before half-time
Paraguay
58%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Bolivia 1 · Draws 2 · Paraguay 2

Head to head

Nov 2024Bolivia 2–2 Paraguay
Oct 2023Paraguay 1–0 Bolivia
Oct 2021Bolivia 4–0 Paraguay
Jun 2021Paraguay 3–1 Bolivia
Nov 2020Paraguay 2–2 Bolivia
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Paraguay beat Bolivia 2–0. Bawler's model had Paraguay in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Bolivia had 9 shots (6 on target) to Paraguay's 6 (4), with 48% of the ball against 52%.

What was the final score in Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Bolivia 0–2 Paraguay, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bolivia 9%, the draw 20% and Paraguay 71%.

What were the stats in Bolivia vs Paraguay?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Shots 9–6, Shots on target 6–4, Corners 3–5, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Bolivia vs Paraguay?

No. It finished 0–2, so Bolivia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 37% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bolivia vs Paraguay right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Paraguay to win 71%, it finished Paraguay won (71% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 37%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Paraguay
Next up
3 OctAColombia1–0 W
All fixtures & results →Bolivia form →Paraguay form →