Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Swansea
Team profile

Swansea Prediction

Per-game numbers from 48 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.3
a game
12.3 faced
On target
3.8
a game
4.3 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 48 matches
Next match
40%
Swansea win chance
vs Sheffield United · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Swansea prediction: for Swansea's next match — Swansea vs Sheffield United on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Swansea win looks most likely (40%).

Swansea sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.20 expected goals a game and conceding 1.21. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.57 a game against 1.20 expected. Next up is Sheffield United, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 40%.

Swansea in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.4Away 1.0
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.3
Home 5.2Away 4.1
12.3
Shots · per game
faced 12.3
Home 13.7Away 11.0
3.8
On target · per game
faced 4.3
Home 3.7Away 3.9
Last 6 games
15 Aug
2-1
@ Stoke
5-4
08 Aug
0-1
vs Birmingham
6-4
02 May
3-1
vs Charlton
10-4
25 Apr
1-1
@ Norwich
2-5
21 Apr
2-1
@ QPR
5-4
18 Apr
1-2
vs Southampton
4-12

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Sheffield United · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
40%
Swansea
Draw
33%
Loss
27%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Swansea compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.20
Below average
Goals against
1.21
Tighter than most
Record
2W 2D 3L
7 settled
Real goals
1.6 – 1.9
For / against, per match
Scored1.20
Conceded1.21

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Swansea fixtures (4/5).

How Bawler has done on Swansea

86%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Sat 15 Aug@ Stoke City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Augvs Birmingham City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 02 Mayvs Charlton
High confidence: 1X
Sat 18 Aprvs Southampton
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Mon 06 Aprvs Middlesbrough
High confidence: X2
Fri 03 Apr@ Sheffield Utd
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Coventry
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Swansea and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly